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Jobless Recovery Redux
Down but not Out
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One Step at a Time
This week we saw something that hadn’t happened in over a year: growth in real GDP. Indeed, real GDP expanded 3.5 percent on an annualized basis during the third quarter, bolstered by consumer spending, business equipment spending, housing construction and exports. In a bit of a statistical quirk...
Published
Fri, Oct 10 2009 3:07 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
,
economic stimulus
Jobless Recovery Redux
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s macroblog provides a good look at the evidence that points to the likelihood that the emerging recovery will be a jobless one. First, despite what has been an appreciable improvement in corporate profits during the third quarter, businesses have chosen to hold...
Published
Thu, Oct 10 2009 4:30 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Down but not Out
After struggling through the worst downturn in the postwar era, the manufacturing sector is showing some signs of life. Sure, a large share of the rebound in output over the past three months is due to automakers restarting shuttered facilities and expanding inventories depleted by “cash for clunkers”;...
Published
Fri, Oct 10 2009 4:30 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Smart Grid Potpourri
This month’s Economist includes an article that goes over some of the developments in the smart grid arena internationally, including efforts to reduce peak demand and integrate renewables into the transmission network. The article describes a California utility’s (PG&E) program to install...
Published
Fri, Oct 10 2009 4:30 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Smart Grid
,
Economics
Fragile Economy - Handle with Care
Just when many economists thought the economic recovery might be gaining a little momentum, reality comes along and throws a big bucket of icy cold water on the party. The employment report was by far the worst in a week where economic data had been signaling at least some improvement. Net job losses...
Published
Fri, Oct 10 2009 3:00 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
What's Next?
An op-ed in today’s Wall Street Journal written by Kevin Warsh, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, is a must-read. Without striking a self-congratulatory tone about their apparent successes thus far in averting catastrophe, the article provides insights into the ramifications of...
Published
Fri, Sep 09 2009 4:30 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Still in the Early Innings
After enduring the deepest economic downturn of the postwar era, manufacturers are finally beginning to see some signs of recovery. For the second month in a row, industrial production and capacity utilization have posted decent-sized gains. A temporary rebound in the auto industry, thanks in part to...
Published
Fri, Sep 09 2009 3:14 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Climbing out of the Hole
The recovery watch continues and based on anecdotal reports out of the Fed's Beige Book , economic activity is stabilizing, and even showing signs of improving, around the nation. Indeed, the key question is quickly becoming how strong and steady the gains will be as we emerge from the deep hole...
Published
Fri, Sep 09 2009 3:44 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Labor Day Lament
While we're getting more and more signs that an honest-to-goodness economic recovery might be in the offing, one particularly stubborn segment of the economy continues to cast a lingering shadow: the labor market. Today's employment report did show yet another moderation in the pace of job losses...
Published
Fri, Sep 09 2009 11:21 AM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
Bye-Bye Clunkers
One of the common threads you'll see in the discussion about "cash for clunkers" is that it was a phenomenal success (see here and here for examples). The program did manage to lift auto sales temporarily by 600,000 units, that much is true. Unfortunately, July and August sales are likely...
Published
Fri, Aug 08 2009 3:16 PM
by
Lego, Brian
Filed under:
Economics
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