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  • The End is (not) Nigh

    Amid all of today's economic turmoil, we economists have been handed what is essentially a laboratory experiment. Specifically, we've been given a rare chance to observe how consumers and businesses respond to rapidly rising energy prices. Experts of all stripes generally perceived American businesses...
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  • Welcome to Blah

    No, that's not the name for some strange amusement park or vacation spot. Instead it appears to be tthe title that perfectly describes the state of the U.S. economy right now. Not to be the person that says ‘I told you so', but a lot of the negative data releases did not come as a total surprise...
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  • The Inflation Specter Cometh

    Although the oft-heard complaint " Everything is just more expensive these days " is off the mark (think computers, clothing, etc.), inflation concerns have crept back into the forefront. Even a few members of the Fed's Open Market Committee have piped up about the potential for rising...
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  • A Modest Proposal

    This weekend marks the start of the summer driving season (although one could be forgiven for not noticing, given recent weather conditions). Crude oil prices spiked to more than $135 per barrel on Wednesday and regular grade gasoline is touching $4 per gallon in many parts of the country. One commodity...
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  • Another Roller-Coaster Ride

    Making a call on where the economy is headed over the near term is seldom easy, but times like these only ratchet up the difficulty and really force economists to earn their paychecks. Steady improvements in the capital markets and a handful of better-than-expected data releases have prompted some analysts...
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  • A Shrinking Gap

    It was not a particularly busy week for new data releases, headlined by monthly readings on the ISM nonmanufacturing index and international trade flows . The former showed an unexpectedly strong rebound in service sector activity in April following three consecutive months of contraction, as respondents...
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  • Copper theft on the raise.

    A falling economy and a surge in the price of metals have fueled a wave of copper thefts. Farmers are loosing wiring to irrigation pumps , churches have been stripped of their roofs and downspouts, and building sites have ransacked for spools of wire. The foolhardy even target transformer substations...

  • Half-Empty or Half-Full?

    Following a week chocked full of stories about soaring food prices , $120 oil , sliding housing prices and a blowback against ethanol , we need to step back, take a deep breath and canvas the economic landscape for any signs of improvement. The economy is certainly not at peak performance right now....
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  • From Boom to All Busted Up

    The well-chronicled woes of the housing market have remained a huge weight around the U.S. economy's neck for well over a year now. In fact, given the evolution of financial markets and the explosion of mortgage loan securitization, the effects of housing bubbles bursting in south Florida , California...
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  • Wither Manufacturing? Maybe Not...

    Of course, the big news this week is Pope Benedict XVI's seminal visit to the U.S. and his Yankee Stadium debut (on Sunday the 20 th ). Also, with the first quarter earnings season in full swing, some high-profile companies have reported some less-than-stellar results to kick off the year (see here...
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